Use disclosure: This report is a litigation-investment opinion, not legal advice. Fund decisions remain with the funder’s investment committee and counsel.
Litigation Funder Vetting Report · Methodology
Methodology Declaration

Litigation Funder Vetting Report

How a 1,000-credit Litigation Funder Vetting Report is produced. The frameworks we adopt, the trial-outcome boundary we will not pretend to overcome, and the corrections process if we get something wrong.

Overview

A Litigation Funder Vetting Report is a paginated, twelve-section due-diligence document on a defendant entity (and the case opportunity context where the caller has supplied it) for a litigation-investment decision. It is generated on demand from public registry filings, court records, regulator enforcement releases, prior similar-case outcomes, audited financial filings, and the defendant’s own enriched profile. It takes three to five minutes to produce, costs 1,50 credits (about $20 USD), and is delivered as a shareable HTML report with a printable PDF view.

It is intended for an investment committee at a litigation finance fund (Burford Capital, Bentham IMF, Longford Capital, Validity Finance, equivalent), an insurance carrier offering litigation insurance, or an in-house legal department evaluating outside counsel + case viability.

The report is not a verdict on the case. It is a structured presentation of the public record across the four litigation-investment axes — defendant solvency, liability strength, damages quantum, and collection probability — for the funder’s investment committee to evaluate themselves. Every claim cites a public URL or is flagged as insufficient evidence. Every probability is expressed in the seven-band UK PHIA Yardstick vocabulary plus an analytical-confidence rating.

Trial-outcome boundary. No Due Diligence report can predict trial verdicts as binary outcomes. Litigation outcomes depend on facts not yet developed in discovery, witness performance, juror composition, evidentiary rulings made on the day, and judicial discretion. We surface signals that bear on probability (the defendant’s prior settlement rate, liability theory’s prior success rate in the forum, comparable damages awarded, defendant’s collection capacity) and express these signals in PHIA bands. We do not promise a verdict.

The Four Frameworks We Adopt

ICD 203 — Analytic Standards (Office of the Director of National Intelligence)

The U.S. Intelligence Community’s Directive 203 defines nine tradecraft standards: properly described sources, proper expression of uncertainty, distinction between intelligence and assumptions, incorporation of alternative analysis, judgement of consequences, customer-relevant focus, logical argumentation, accurate reflection of source content, and clear language. We treat these as binding for every Litigation Funder Vetting Report. The discipline of expressing uncertainty explicitly — rather than presenting investment-relevant probability claims as facts — is the single most important discipline for litigation-funding Due Diligence.

UK PHIA Probability Yardstick (UK Defence Intelligence)

The Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment publishes a seven-band probability yardstick — Remote chance (under 5%) / Highly unlikely (10-20%) / Unlikely (25-35%) / Realistic possibility (40-50%) / Likely (55-75%) / Highly likely (80-90%) / Almost certain (over 95%). Every probabilistic claim — defendant settlement probability, liability finding probability, collection probability, damages quantum range — is expressed using these seven bands paired with a separate analytical-confidence rating (High / Moderate / Low). PHIA-banded probability is the right vocabulary for litigation-investment work because it forces explicit ranges rather than false-precision point estimates.

ABA Best Practices for Third-Party Litigation Funding

The American Bar Association’s Working Group on Litigation Funding has published guidance for the bar on disclosure, conflict-of-interest management, and ethical handling of third-party-funded litigation. While the ABA guidance addresses counsel rather than funders directly, several principles map cleanly to funder-side Due Diligence: the requirement to evaluate the merits of the matter independently of the funder’s economic interest, the discipline of separating investment-decision rationale from legal-merits analysis, and the obligation to surface conflicts of interest among funders, counsel, and named plaintiffs. Section 7 (Opposing Counsel Quality) and Section 8 (Plaintiff Counsel Quality) of every report are specifically informed by these principles.

ALCOA — FDA Data Integrity Principle

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s ALCOA principle (Attributable / Legible / Contemporaneous / Original / Accurate) is the data-integrity standard adopted across regulated industries. Every Litigation Funder Vetting Report carries an ALCOA Methodology footer: each factual claim is attributable to a cited source, presented in legible plain language, marked with the date it was contemporaneously verified, sourced from the original primary record where available, and accurately reflects the underlying evidence with explicit uncertainty flags where evidence is thin.

The Twelve Sections of a Litigation Funder Vetting Report

#SectionPurpose
1Executive SummaryBuilt last. Recommended action, return-projection PHIA bands, three "why fund" bullets, three "what to resolve before commitment" bullets, headline recommendation.
2Litigation Investment AssessmentScore out of 100 with four sub-scores: defendant solvency, liability strength, damages quantum, collection probability.
3Defendant Solvency & Asset VisibilityOperating-asset position, bankruptcy signals, credit-rating actions, recent material asset transfers (fraudulent-transfer signal at extremes).
4Liability Strength SignalsForum, cause of action, prior similar-case outcomes for the defendant, public regulatory findings establishing liability theory.
5Damages Quantum EstimationPHIA-banded settlement/verdict range, comparable settlements adjusted for inflation and forum-multiplier.
6Collection Probability AssessmentDefendant’s asset-jurisdiction enforcement-friendliness, prior judgment-collection history, insurance coverage availability.
7Opposing Counsel QualityLitigation track record on this cause of action, win rate where public, settlement patterns.
8Plaintiff Counsel QualityTrack record on similar cause-of-action cases, contingency-fee structure, prior cases funded by other funders, bar disciplinary history.
9Judicial Assignment SignalsWhere assigned: judge’s rulings on similar issues, motion-grant patterns, public reversals on appeal.
10Discovery Burden EstimateComplexity signals → expected discovery cost as percent of the funder’s investment basis.
11Settlement vs Trial ProbabilityDefendant’s history of settling vs trying similar matters; PHIA-banded resolution-mode distribution.
12References & Source CitationsAggregated audit trail of every URL cited above, deduplicated, grouped by source class (Primary / Authoritative-Secondary / Aggregator / Unverified) per ICD 206 sourcing standards.

ABA Best Practices for Third-Party Litigation Funding — How We Apply Them

The American Bar Association’s Working Group on Third-Party Litigation Funding published its Best Practices framework after multi-year consultation across the litigation-finance industry, plaintiff-side and defense-side bars, and judicial commentary. The framework focuses on counsel obligations, but its underlying principles map directly to funder-side investment-committee Due Diligence:

  1. Independent merits evaluation. The ABA guidance reminds counsel that funder economics must not drive merits assessment. The mirror discipline for funders is to evaluate liability strength independently of the desired investment thesis. Section 4 (Liability Strength Signals) is built around this discipline — prior similar-case outcomes for the defendant, public regulatory findings, public admissions in 10-K risk-factor disclosures.
  2. Conflict-of-interest surface. The ABA guidance highlights conflicts among named plaintiff, counsel, and funder. Section 7 (Opposing Counsel Quality) and Section 8 (Plaintiff Counsel Quality) surface counsel-track-record signals that bear on whether the funder, plaintiff, and counsel economic interests align.
  3. Proportional disclosure to court. Some jurisdictions require disclosure of third-party funding to the court. Where the funder operates in a disclosure-mandatory jurisdiction, Section 9 (Judicial Assignment Signals) surfaces whether the assigned judge has prior rulings on funded-litigation disclosures or has issued protective orders that bear on funder confidentiality.
  4. No interference with counsel judgement. The ABA guidance prohibits funder interference with counsel’s independent legal judgement. The Due Diligence report’s investment-rationale framing intentionally separates "is this a fundable opportunity" (the funder’s decision) from "is this a winnable case" (counsel’s decision). Both decisions inform each other; neither substitutes for the other.

PHIA Yardstick in Litigation Investment

Litigation outcomes are inherently probabilistic. The PHIA seven-band yardstick is the right vocabulary for litigation-investment Due Diligence because it forces explicit probability ranges paired with confidence tiers, rather than the false-precision point estimates that have historically plagued the industry. Every probabilistic claim in a Litigation Funder Vetting Report follows this format:

Format example: "Likely (~65%) defendant settles before trial within 18-24 months of filing (Confidence: Moderate — based on N=14 comparable matters against this defendant where the matter was resolved at the procedural stage of the current case; range adjusted for current docket congestion)."

The seven bands:

Confidence tiers (per ICD 203):

Banned in this report: "may be" / "could be" / "perhaps" / "possibly" / "might" / "presumably". Each is replaced with a PHIA band term plus a confidence tier. Numeric probabilities outside the seven bands are anchored to the band; numeric ranges are paired with a band.

Honest Limits — what we do not do

What we DO do

  • Synthesis-tier output: 12-section narrative Due Diligence report with cited evidence, four-axis investment scoring, and PHIA-banded probability claims.
  • Public methodology: this page. Frameworks auditable by investment committees, peer funders, opposing counsel, and the bar.
  • Asymmetric pricing: 1,50 credits (about $20) for a full vetting report. Comparable depth at incumbent litigation-Due Diligence vendors typically costs $5,000-$50,000 per opportunity.
  • Adopted intelligence-community + bar-association + data-integrity frameworks (ICD 203, ICD 206, UK PHIA Yardstick, ABA Best Practices for Third-Party Litigation Funding, ALCOA) in writing, openly.

What we DO NOT do

  • We do not predict trial verdicts as binary outcomes. Probability claims are PHIA-banded, paired with confidence tiers.
  • We do not access sealed court records, sealed settlement terms, or attorney work product.
  • We do not access subscription litigation analytics platforms (Lex Machina, Westlaw Edge Quick Check, Lexis Context). We use public PACER, public state-court records, and publicly-indexed regulator press.
  • We do not access the privileged record of the matter under evaluation. We have no insight into specific document discovery, deposition transcripts under seal, or settlement-discussion content.
  • We do not provide legal advice. The report is a litigation-investment opinion. Fund / no-fund decisions remain with the funder’s investment committee and counsel.
  • We do not promise discovery-cost estimates within ±10%. Discovery cost depends on complexity that emerges during discovery itself; we surface complexity SIGNALS (anticipated witness count, cross-border exposure, document-review-volume estimates from comparable cases) but do not bind the funder to a cost figure.
  • We do not invent claims to fill thin sections. Where evidence is genuinely absent, the report writes "[insufficient public evidence as of date]" and moves on.

Corrections Policy

Three commitments modeled on the BBC editorial corrections process:

  1. Identification window. Errors flagged within thirty days of report generation are corrected on the canonical view URL within five business days. Errors flagged after thirty days are evaluated and corrected at our discretion.
  2. Re-publication, not silent edit. Corrections do not overwrite the prior text silently. The report’s view page preserves a redline diff between the original and corrected text, time-stamped, with a one-line explanation.
  3. Subject right of reply. The defendant entity named in any Vetting Report may submit a one-paragraph factual rebuttal to corrections@mentionfox.com. Verifiable rebuttals attach to the report alongside the original section. Where the defendant and our research disagree on a public-record claim, both views are surfaced.

Data integrity floor — ALCOA. Every Litigation Funder Vetting Report carries an ALCOA Methodology footer: each factual claim is Attributable to a cited source, presented in Legible plain language, marked with the date it was Contemporaneously verified, sourced from the Original primary record where available, and Accurately reflects the underlying evidence with explicit uncertainty flags where evidence is thin.

References

  1. ICD 203 — Analytic Standards — Office of the Director of National Intelligence (2015).
  2. ICD 206 — Sourcing Requirements for Disseminated Analytic Products — Office of the Director of National Intelligence.
  3. UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment — Probability Yardstick — UK Government / Cabinet Office.
  4. ABA Working Group on Third-Party Litigation Funding — Best Practices — American Bar Association.
  5. PACER — Public Access to Court Electronic Records — Federal Judiciary.
  6. SEC EDGAR — public filings (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K) — U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  7. BBC Editorial Guidelines — British Broadcasting Corporation (corrections-policy model).
  8. FDA Data Integrity and Compliance With Drug CGMP — ALCOA principles — U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

Methodology v1.0 · Published 2026-05-03 · Verifierce / MentionFox · Vertical 14 of the Due Diligence PlatformExpert Witness methodology → Counterparty methodology →